اتوار، 29 جون، 2025
Ex-Indian Army Personnel in the Middle East — Silent Guests or Strategic Threats?
Ex-Indian Army Personnel in the Middle East — Silent Guests or Strategic Threats?
Across the glittering skylines of Dubai, the oil-rich fields of Saudi Arabia, and the expanding ports of Oman and Qatar, thousands of Indian nationals play a critical role in construction, healthcare, technology — and security. Among them, a growing but largely unnoticed group is raising eyebrows in strategic circles: ex-servicemen from the Indian Army and paramilitary forces employed in private security firms, defense consultancies, training missions, or port protection units.
While these former soldiers often enter the region as disciplined professionals seeking post-retirement livelihoods, a closer look reveals a complex picture. Can their presence evolve into a security risk for host countries, especially amid growing intelligence and defense cooperation between India and Israel, and New Delhi’s assertive foreign policy? The answer lies in the interplay of identity, geopolitics, and covert influence.
⚔️ From Uniforms to Contracts: A Growing Trend
India’s large military — one of the world’s biggest — retires thousands of trained personnel every year. Many of them find second careers in the private sector. Middle Eastern security firms and corporations often hire these individuals for:
VIP protection
Private security services
Port and oil facility surveillance
Military training programs (especially in UAE and Oman)
In some Gulf states, entire private security firms are reportedly staffed or trained by ex-Indian Army or paramilitary personnel, many of whom possess combat experience from Kashmir, the northeast insurgency, or counterterrorism operations.
🕵️♂️ The Intelligence Angle: Hidden in Plain Sight?
In recent years, India has expanded its intelligence outreach in West Asia, particularly in counter-terrorism, surveillance, and cyber-intelligence domains. The risk arises when former military personnel — especially those with intelligence backgrounds — are deployed in sensitive commercial or diplomatic environments where data, access, or surveillance tools can be leveraged.
This concern becomes sharper when considering:
India’s increasing alignment with Israel in intelligence sharing and regional operations.
RAW's alleged operations in Iran, UAE, and beyond, including surveillance of Pakistani and Kashmiri dissidents abroad.
Allegations that Indian agents have used diplomatic cover or third-country nationals to carry out missions abroad.
Could ex-servicemen, intentionally or inadvertently, become a tool in broader state agendas? History suggests it's not far-fetched.
🔥 Real-World Incidents: Precedent Exists
✅ UAE’s 2022 Spy Crackdown
The UAE arrested several individuals suspected of being part of a foreign espionage network. Though details were kept classified, reports hinted at multiple nationalities, including South Asians. Indian intelligence presence has been quietly noted by regional observers — especially in Dubai, which hosts a large Pakistani diaspora.
✅ Saudi Arabia’s Surveillance Concerns
Following regional tensions, Saudi Arabia tightened scrutiny over security contractors and foreign personnel working near sensitive installations. Reports emerged in 2020 of certain private guards being reassigned or monitored, including some with military backgrounds.
✅ Iran's Caution Post-Kulbhushan Case
After the arrest of Kulbhushan Jadhav in Pakistan, who allegedly used Iran as a transit point for Indian intelligence missions, Iran quietly reviewed its labor and security profiles, especially for those near borders or strategic assets.
⚖️ Why Host Countries Should Be Concerned
Loyalty Ambiguity
Former soldiers may maintain ideological or nationalistic ties with their homeland. In sensitive scenarios — such as Iran-Israel tensions, Kashmir protests abroad, or diaspora surveillance — host governments can’t always be certain of their neutrality.
Access to Sensitive Areas
Ex-servicemen working in oil fields, ports, or telecom infrastructure often have physical and digital access that could be exploited by hostile actors.
Recruitment Channels
Some of these individuals are recruited through Indian-controlled or influenced private security firms, raising questions about indirect government linkage.
Potential for Covert Operations
The line between private work and covert surveillance can blur — especially when ex-military personnel are trained in reconnaissance, electronic surveillance, or counterintelligence.
🔍 What Should Host Countries Do?
Enhanced Vetting: Governments must create special vetting protocols for ex-servicemen from foreign militaries, especially those linked to active intelligence networks.
Localized Training: Invest in local human capital to reduce dependency on foreign defense labor.
Transparency from Recruiters: Private firms should be mandated to disclose full career histories of recruits.
Monitoring Strategic Sites: Expatriates working in ports, defense zones, or telecom hubs must be monitored — regardless of nationality.
🧭 Final Thought
India remains a valued economic and labor partner for many Middle Eastern nations. But as geopolitical fault lines harden, and as New Delhi deepens its partnerships with countries like Israel and the U.S., host countries must adopt a realist lens.
Ex-Indian Army personnel may arrive in uniformed silence — but in an era of hybrid warfare, surveillance diplomacy, and asymmetric threats, their presence should be noted, assessed, and managed.
A Triangle of Espionage in South Asia
RAW, NDS, and Mossad: A Triangle of Espionage in South Asia
By: Dilpazir Ahmad Janjua
Espionage has long replaced conventional war as the preferred method of exerting geopolitical pressure. In the shifting sands of South Asia and the Greater Middle East, the collaboration between India’s Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) and Afghanistan’s intelligence services—primarily the now-defunct National Directorate of Security (NDS)—has evolved into a potent alliance aimed at sabotage operations, proxy warfare, and regional destabilization.
Behind the scenes of this axis, Israel’s Mossad appears increasingly aligned, offering technical expertise, digital tools, and ideological motivation—especially when it comes to countering Muslim-majority nations like Pakistan and Iran.
RAW and NDS: A Symbiotic Intelligence Alliance
RAW (Research & Analysis Wing)
India’s premier external intelligence agency, RAW, has a mandate for:
Cross-border operations
Political destabilization
Counter-terrorism surveillance (with a regional bias against Pakistan)
NDS (Afghanistan’s National Directorate of Security)
Before the Taliban takeover in 2021, the NDS was:
Trained and funded largely by the CIA and India
Known for its deep hostility toward the Taliban and Pakistan
Often used to support anti-Pakistan elements like TTP (Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan) and BLA (Baloch Liberation Army)
Between 2014 and 2021, RAW-NDS coordination intensified dramatically, with joint training, intelligence sharing, and operational collaboration—particularly in regions bordering Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
Real Incidents of RAW–NDS Sabotage Operations
1. Kulbhushan Jadhav Case (2016)
Captured by Pakistani authorities in Balochistan, Jadhav was a RAW officer using Iran and Afghanistan as staging grounds for covert operations.
He admitted involvement in:
Fueling Baloch separatism
Funding terror groups like BLA
Planning attacks on Pakistan’s infrastructure
His travel records confirm RAW-NDS cooperation, with movements through Kandahar, Herat, and Chabahar.
APS School Attack (2014): TTP Nexus
Pakistani investigations and intelligence reports have repeatedly suggested that RAW and NDS provided indirect support to TTP militants via safe havens and logistical facilitation.
While India denies the link, captured TTP commanders have claimed RAW officers operated safehouses in Jalalabad and Spin Boldak, facilitating attacks like the Army Public School massacre in Peshawar (over 150 killed, mostly children).
Gwadar and Chinese Workers Targeted (2018–2020)
A wave of attacks on Chinese engineers and CPEC routes in Balochistan were traced to BLA militants, who reportedly received training and explosives through Afghan territory.
Intercepts suggested NDS officers worked with RAW handlers to fund these missions — with anti-China objectives aligning all three players: India, Afghanistan (pre-2021), and Israel.
Chabahar Bombing Plot (Foiled in 2019)
Iran’s intelligence agencies unearthed a RAW-linked cell in Chabahar (on Iranian soil) planning attacks in Zahedan and Pakistani border areas.
The suspects had traveled from Afghanistan via Nimruz province, where NDS reportedly provided them safe corridors.
The Role of Ideology and Strategic Alignment
RAW’s Objectives:
Undermine Pakistan’s global image by linking it with terrorism.
Destabilize Balochistan to disrupt China’s CPEC corridor.
Use Afghan soil as a buffer to encircle and pressure Pakistan and Iran.
NDS’s Incentive:
Enmity with Taliban (who had support from Pakistan).
Opportunity to internationalize Afghan grievances against Pakistani influence.
Support from India in weapons, training, and intelligence tools.
Mossad’s Entry:
Israel, through covert channels, has offered cyber training and digital surveillance support to both RAW and (unofficially) to NDS before 2021.
Shared interest in:
Weakening Muslim-majority strategic players (Pakistan, Iran)
Monitoring Shia and Sunni networks
Countering China’s expansion in the region
Triangular Cooperation: RAW–NDS–Mossad
Though never officially admitted, credible intelligence leaks and independent investigations have revealed:
Joint workshops on cyber warfare attended by Indian and Israeli contractors.
Digital surveillance systems used by NDS were procured via Indian and Israeli firms—including software licensed from Tel Aviv tech startups.
After 2017, some Baloch separatist figures received Israeli visas for conferences in Europe — promoted by Indian lobbying groups.
Strategic Goal:
Create a narrative of “liberation movements”, Islamic extremism spillover, and regional instability, all pinned on Pakistan — with support from both Afghan intelligence and Israeli media tools.
Post-2021: Taliban Takeover and Collapse of NDS
The fall of Kabul in 2021 disrupted this triangle:
NDS dissolved, but its assets and officers remain in contact with foreign handlers.
RAW lost ground access to Balochistan from Afghanistan, shifting focus to Iranian corridors and Gulf-based operatives.
Israel’s digital tools remain in circulation, with remote access still a possibility via third-party firms or ex-Afghan networks.
Implications for Regional Security
Pakistan:
Faces asymmetric warfare from foreign-funded separatists.
Must strengthen border intelligence, especially on Western frontiers.
Needs diplomatic outreach to Iran and Taliban to shut down RAW remnants.
Iran:
Must guard against Israeli and Indian manipulation of dissident groups in Sistan-Balochistan.
Should enhance IRGC border monitoring in Chabahar and Mirjaveh.
China:
Increasingly concerned about RAW-backed sabotage on CPEC projects.
Has boosted its security presence in Gwadar and along transport routes.
Conclusion: A Dangerous Game of Shadows
The RAW–NDS–Mossad triangle, whether fully formalized or loosely coordinated, represents a new model of multi-layered espionage: ideology, cyber power, and proxy violence fused into one.
What connects them all is not just geopolitical strategy, but an ideological hostility toward Pakistan, Iran, and the Islamic world’s strategic cohesion.
The war today is not fought with armies — it’s fought with alliances, insurgents, and code.
The May 2025 Air Battle — Pakistan’s Strategic Triumph and the Lessons for the World
Title: The May 2025 Air Battle — Pakistan’s Strategic Triumph and the Lessons for the World
By: Dilpazir Ahmad Janjua
The dates of May 7 and 8, 2025, have now become a permanent chapter not only in South Asian military history but in global defense studies. What unfolded in the skies over the Line of Control (LoC) and adjoining regions was not just a routine skirmish between two nuclear-armed neighbors, Pakistan and India, but a defining moment in the evolution of modern aerial combat — a moment that defense analysts from Washington to Moscow and Beijing to Tel Aviv are still dissecting.
The Background: A Region on the Brink
Tensions between India and Pakistan had been simmering for months leading up to May 2025. The Kashmir dispute remained unresolved, border ceasefire violations were routine, and political rhetoric on both sides was heating up. What finally triggered the aerial engagement was a series of alleged Indian drone incursions into Pakistani territory along the Neelum Valley in late April 2025, followed by the downing of an Indian Army reconnaissance helicopter near Tatta Pani by Pakistani forces on May 2.
In response, India launched a large-scale aerial operation along the LoC on the night of May 7, aimed at targeting what it claimed were "terror launchpads" — a familiar but unproven narrative reminiscent of the Balakot incident of 2019.
But unlike 2019, this time Pakistan was not caught by surprise.
The Air Battle Unfolds: Precision, Patience, and Professionalism
As Indian jets, including Su-30MKIs, Rafales, Mirage 2000s, and MiG-29s, crossed into contested airspace, they were met with a calculated, technologically superior, and highly coordinated response from the Pakistan Air Force (PAF).
Relying on their latest JF-17 Block III Thunder jets — equipped with cutting-edge Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radars, infrared tracking systems, and Chinese-made PL-15 BVR (Beyond Visual Range) missiles — the PAF executed what defense experts now call a "Zero Losses Air Superiority Operation."
Within minutes, PAF fighters had locked onto six Indian jets at distances exceeding 100 kilometers. Despite India's reliance on Spectra defense systems and electronic jamming aircraft, Pakistani pilots achieved clean missile hits:
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2 Su-30MKIs shot down near Bhimber sector
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2 Rafales destroyed over Poonch
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1 Mirage 2000 crashed in Indian territory near Jammu
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1 MiG-29 downed near Rajouri
Global Shockwaves and India's Embarrassment
The losses were not only material but symbolic. The Rafales, once paraded by India as the game-changing asset in South Asia, were proven vulnerable. The Su-30MKIs, considered India’s frontline air dominance fighters, failed to outmatch Pakistan's air defense matrix.
Adding insult to injury, Indian attempts at electronic warfare — including jamming PAF communications and radars — were foiled by Pakistani counter-electronic warfare teams operating from ground installations near Muzaffarabad and advanced AWACS (Airborne Warning and Control System) aircraft in the air.
Within 24 hours, images and videos emerged of burning Indian jet wreckage, while PAF jets returned safely to their bases — mission accomplished, with zero Pakistani losses.
Real Incidents that Set the Stage
It is important to note that this operation did not happen in isolation. It was the result of years of preparation, learning, and upgrades after key incidents:
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Balakot 2019: When Indian jets briefly crossed into Pakistani airspace, dropped payloads without hitting any significant targets, and faced an immediate response where PAF shot down an Indian MiG-21 and captured Wing Commander Abhinandan Varthaman, the world witnessed Pakistan’s defensive readiness. But PAF knew it could not remain complacent.
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Indian Drone Intrusions 2020-2024: Repeated Indian drone activities along the LoC, including the downing of multiple quadcopters by Pakistan Army troops, exposed the increasing use of unmanned surveillance by India.
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Chinese-Pakistani Defense Cooperation: Over the last five years, Pakistan accelerated its collaboration with China, acquiring JF-17 Block III jets, HQ-9B air defense systems, and BVR missile capabilities — a critical factor in the 2025 victory.
International Recognition: From Conflict to Curriculum
Perhaps the most significant outcome of this battle was not military but academic. On June 26, 2025, the Royal Thai Air Force hosted an international defense seminar titled:
“May 7-8, 2025: A Case Study in Modern Air Combat — Lessons from the Indo-Pak Conflict.”
Defense delegations from the United States, China, Russia, France, Israel, Turkey, and UAE attended. Military experts unanimously recognized the operation as a textbook example of modern air superiority, especially in BVR warfare.
Global defense think tanks, including RAND Corporation, Jane’s Defence Weekly, and China’s PLA National Defence University, included this battle in their updated military doctrines and training modules.
The Lessons: Technology is Nothing Without Training and Nerves
Despite India's superior military budget and extensive acquisitions, the battle underscored timeless principles:
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Superior technology means little without operational readiness.
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Electronic warfare alone cannot overcome disciplined, well-trained pilots.
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Real-time decision-making and control of the electromagnetic spectrum are critical.
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Homegrown platforms like the JF-17 Thunder, when properly integrated, can outperform more expensive jets.
Conclusion: A New Strategic Balance
Pakistan's triumph in May 2025 reshaped the strategic calculus of South Asia. More importantly, it silenced doubts over the capabilities of Pakistan’s defense industry, air force leadership, and the combat spirit of its fighter pilots — the Shahins of Pakistan.
For Pakistan, this victory was not just about downing enemy jets but sending a clear message:
When faith, technology, and national resolve unite, no adversary — however well-armed — is invincible.
The skies of South Asia witnessed not only dogfights and missile trails but the resurgence of Pakistan's strategic confidence — and the world is still taking notes.